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What Are My Chances Of Getting An Australian Visa

After lodging your EOI, How Long Should You Expect To Wait?

So you’ve got an occupation on one of the Australian Skilled Occupations Lists. You have registered an Expression Of Interest (EOI) with Skillselect and you’re now left waiting to see if you’ll get that sought after an invitation to apply for an Australian Visa.

As a skilled migrant, you’re probably already familiar with the Australian points test and the requirement to reach a certain points threshold to qualify for migration under your occupation. However beyond that. How long should you be expected to wait for an invitation to apply and what are your overall chances of getting an Australian Visa?

What Are My Chances Of Getting An Australian Visa?

We get asked this question quite a lot here at Getting Down Under and to be honest, it’s a pretty difficult question to answer because there are so many dependencies to being successful.

Sure, you have a confirmed occupation in demand, you have reached the points threshold and English language requirement, however, there is something that’s really difficult to take account for, and that’s the other applicants.

You see, once you have registered an Expression Of Interest with SkillSelect, you are automatically ranked against the other Australian visa applicants who have also applied.

Your ranking is based on the information you provide within your EOI. EOIs are ranked using points achieved on the skilled migration points test. A prescribed pass mark will be set as the minimum points score required for each visa category.

Where you have the same number of points as another applicant, then this equally scoring EOIs will be separated by the time of submission with earlier submission dates ranking more highly.

Now let’s look at a few scenarios to see how this would work in practice.

Australian EOI Scenario 1

What Are My Chances Of Getting An Australian Visa

So in the above scenario, you have qualified for an Australian skilled Visa with 65 points. You have been added to the SkillSelect queue for your occupation.

As you have qualified with more than the minimum number of points for this occupation (in this example the minimum is 60 points), you will receive an application before those applicants who have qualified with only 60 points.

The small number of applicants who have qualified with more than 65 points or those who have the same number of points as you but registered their EOI before you will be invited first.

EOI Scenario 2

How long to get an Australian Visa

In this second scenario, with 65 points you have joined your fellow applicants at the front of the SkillSelect queue.

Even though these applicants registered with SkillSelect months before you did. As your points score is higher. You will be invited to apply for a skilled visa first

Australian EOI Process – Scenario 3

Australian Expression Of Interest (EOI) Process

In this final scenario, you’ve completed your EOI and feel pretty good about yourself. Despite only needing 60 points to qualify for your application, you’ve managed to score 65 points.

What you don’t know, however, is there is a large number of applicants who have been waiting for an invitation with even more points.

In this instance, even though you have qualified with a high points score. The fact that there are applicants with even more points means that you will not receive an invitation until these applicants receive an invitation first.

Other Considerations

After submitting your EOI, you can view your point score; however, because your ranking is continuously changing as new EOI’s are submitted and invitations issued, you will not see your ranking.

Your EOI will stay in SkillSelect for a maximum of two years. At any time during the validity of your EOI, you can update your details to reflect any additional qualifications or experience you might have obtained. This might increase your likelihood of being invited or an employer contacting you.

After each invitation round for the independent and skilled regional (provisional) sponsored visas, the Australian government published via the SkillSelect website, the lowest points test mark for which an EOI received an invitation.

This will give you an indication of your potential for receiving an invitation in future rounds.

Have any questions?

Have any questions? Post these in our comments below or pop on over to our Australian Migration forums and we’ll look to help where we can.

Written by Mark

As the founder of Getting Down Under, Mark is passionate about demystifying the process associated with a move to Australia.

Having launched Getting Down Under in early January 2006 and made the move to Australia from the UK in the same year, Mark continues to share resources and support for those looking for assitance, Getting Down Under.

If you have a question for Mark, please post in our Forums

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  1. I am currently in the process of completing an EOI, my AISTL assessment is currently on its way back from OZ as my final step of the process and should be here in a couple of days. Just received an email to say points for independent VISA have increased from 60 to 65 meaning that I no longer have enough points. Is there any leeway? or am I unfortunately very unlucky? Your feedback would be appreciated. Many thanks, Laura

  2. Hi Mark,
    I am looking to apply for NSW nomination under the stream 2 option. I have a total of 90 points and would be applying for the occupation of Education Adviser, which does not appear on the NSW 190 priority list. My question is what you think my chances are for getting invited under stream 2 and this occupation. I can’t seem to find any comments in online forums where other people have gotten nominations under stream 2 and this occupation. Any advice would be welcome. Thanks Vicki

  3. Hi mark,
    I have completed my master of professional accounting, professional year and I also have secured 79+ in pte. The problem now is that accounting is N/A in the invitation rounds. What should I do? Should I wait for June/July 2018 and there are rumours that accounting will be eliminated soon.
    Please reply
    Thank you

    • Hi Waqar, you can lodge an EOI at any time so I would encourage you to apply. At the end of the day, the alternative is do nothing which won’t get you any closer to a new life down under.

  4. Hi mark,
    My husband is applying for 189 and his occupation (internal auditor) is on mtlssl, can he earn points on spouse assesment if my occupation (chemist) is not eligeble for 189 visa?
    Thank you in advance

  5. Hi Mark.
    I am Sohail from Pakistan. I have master in Business Administrations (HR), i have 8 years experience in finance and HR, with iNGO (MSF). Can i get Australia visa.

  6. Hi Mark,
    I am looking to apply for 189 class visa with 70points in the month of March 2018 for 2017-18. I am worried by the time the category of ICT Business Analyst might be filled as it has been the trend every year. Should I wait for July 18 to put forward my Expression of Interest?


  7. Hi mark
    at what stage should i add the state nomination points in my calculations of points. is it already added before i get the nomination of after the nomination. i mean for visa 190|489

  8. Hi Mark, please i will like to find out if i can already addd the 5 points for state nomination under 190/489 or i have to wait until i have been nominated. mean when i am calculating my pionts. i presently have about 60 point minus the 5 points from state nomination. thank you

  9. Hi Mark
    I currently have 2 x EOIs that I filed in march 2017 skilled independent with 60 points and then in may 2017 with state nomination of NSW with 65 points, to date I have not received an invitation and someone has told me that my choice of NSW was not right and that I should have gone for another state! Can you pls suggest which state should I file a parallel EOI to receive an invitation? i.e the state with the highest chance to get an invitation with System Anaylst category? Thanks

  10. hello i am a single mother and ii want to apply for PR . i have a divorce deed not the degree so is it compulsory to get a consent letter signed by the father ..please do tell…thank you

  11. hi mark
    Hi Mark , I am 47 yrs old , have run a successful business in the Uk for the past 23 years , good turnover and profitable employing 30 +people, I am looking to apply for a sponsored business visa , so that I can acquire a business in Australia in a similar field and expand. I have many links through my customers in the uk to their subsidiary’s in Australia, so believe I have a strong case for acceptance and future growth potential. I seem to tick all the boxes in terms of assets and experience etc – but interested to know from your experience what timescales are we looking at for visa acceptance and is there anything else I need to be aware of or wary of??

  12. Hi Mark, hope you are well. When submitting documents for relevant skilled employment assessment. Can you please advise if I have to have the Statutory Declaration / Affidavit by a direct supervisor notarised / witnessed? If yes, who can witnessed / authorised the document? Thank you in advance. Best regards.

  13. Hi Mark ,
    Thank you for your regard .
    I’m Abbas from Iran , if you remember me .
    I have another question dear Mark .
    Could you tell me if , I need to write a CDR letter ?

    • Hi Abbas, A Competency Demonstration Report (CDR) is required by Engineers Australia to assess the competency of an engineer with overseas qualifications not covered by the Washington Accord. If your qualifications are not covered then yes, you will need to write a CDR.

  14. Hi Mark,
    How are you?
    I’m Abbas and I’m from Iran.I’m civil engineer and I’ve been working for more than 7 years.
    I’m going to register for 189 visa , but I don’t know how can I register for and which documents are needed?
    Which documents are needed for assessment and how can I do this?
    I’m looking forward for your help.
    Thank you very much.

  15. Dear Mark,
    I have public relations bachelor degree and hold Turkish nation. I want to permanent visa for work in Australia. Any changes for me?
    Thanks your assistance

  16. Hi Mark,

    Is it possible even though you did reach the minimum points and still not invited for the next few years? I’ve known few friends that they already submitted their EOI last year and yet they are not invited.


    • It does happen sometimes Paul though it’s very dependent on the occupation and the occupation ceiling allocated against this particular role.

  17. hi I have applied for EOI under 190 for skillset 224712. My current points are 70. I am nearly 39. what should i do to ensure i dont miss out on the points for age next year. I am running behind time. I do have my cousin in Australia, if they sponsor will that be considered for additional points ?

    I am doing a family visa, does it qualify if my husband does skillsassessment and have an IELTS score of 6.5 ?


    • Hi Parthi, as you will know, the 190 visa is a state-sponsored visa so I think your cousin sponsoring you will make little difference as your applying under a completely different visa class. For your husband to join you on this visa, he only needs to meet Health and Character requirements. As there is no obligation to have a certain skill or IELTS score as your partner, I’d suggest having a skilled assessment or a 6.5 IELTS score would also likely have little impact. With all that said, your question is stretching the boundaries of my own experience and knowledge so I would be encourage you to seek professional advice from the Australian migration department here.

  18. Hi Mark

    My brother has got his PR as skilled visa in September 2016 while in india and he will be shifting to australia in August 2017.Can i get sponsorship points if I apply in July 2017 and how many ?


    • Hi Aman, you can get points however the number is governed by a number of factors including your skills, age, English language ability, occupation, Australian work experience and Australian qualifications. See below (or click here) for a high-level calculator

      Australian Points Calculator

  19. Hi sir currently i am in last semster of Mcom Marketing from Charles sturt university sydney and i want to get PR in australia. what are my chances and what are the available options for me to apply for PR. Your suggestions will be appreciated.

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